Election Polling

As we are two months from the Presidential election, we will be hearing a lot about polls.  So here is a mini-bibliography of data, election polling research guides, and articles about public opinion polling and elections.

Current Pollster Sites

• Gallup
• PEW
• Ramussen Reports

Compilation/analysis of election polls

• Real Clear Politics
• electoral-vote.com
• FiveThirtyEight

Historical Data

• Roper Center at University of Connecticut, US Elections

Library Research Guides

• Santa Clara University, Election 2012
• University of Michigan, Elections

Some articles about public-opinion polls

• Martin Boon, Predicting Elections, 54 International Journal of Market Research, 465 (2012).
• Robert Erikson and Christopher Wlezien, Markets vs. Polls as Election Predictors: An Historical Assessment, 31 Electoral Studies 532 (2012).
• Sandra Gonzalez-Bailon, Rafael E. Branchs, Andreas Kaltenbrunner, Emotions, Public Opinion, and U.S. Presidential Approval Rates: A 5-Year Analysis of Online Political Discussions, 38 Human Communication Research, 121 (2012).
• S. G. Kou and M. Sobe, Forecasting the Vote: A Theoretical Comparison of Election Markets and Public Opinion Polls, 12 Political Analysis 277 (2004).
• Paul Whiteley, et al., Polling and Forecasting the General Election of 2010, 52 International Journal of Market Research 687 (2010).